Following on from a recent story, we believe that there will be no iPhone 5 exclusive for Sprint. There were suggestions that Apple and the smallest of the top four U.S. carriers had been in talks for an exclusivity deal, but based on sales expectations, the numbers just doesn’t add up. Trying to keep up with all the rumors ahead of the “Let’s talk iPhone” event is a full-time job, but at least in a few short hours we will know all there is to know.
Let’s look at the rumored Sprint deal and explain the numbers. It’s suggested that the carrier has paid $20 billion for 30.5 million iPhone 5’s, which works out at an average of $655. Now this figure does sound staggering, but this is based on figures for the next four years. Now not wanting to sound like an Apple fanboy, but this number is far too low.
Wall Street expects Apple to shift 25.9 million iPhone units during the holiday quarter alone, and 107 million in total next year. Seems like something is wrong with the accounts, and we believe it to be with Sprint. Now although we reported that the deal will only be an exclusive until next year that would mean that only 7.25 million iPhone’s will be sold each year, or 1.9 million this quarter — a little low wouldn’t you say?
Most rumors now suggest that no carrier will get the iPhone 5, instead the 4S. We still cannot be certain of this, but Apple has let us down in the past, but we can remember having the same conversation last year. We just cannot see Apple in talks with Sprint, as they will not sell the same quantity of handsets that they did when AT&T had the exclusive, at least we do not have that long to wait to learn the truth.